Projected impacts of climate change on the habitat of Xerophyta species in Africa | |
Wang, Vincent Okelo; Ngarega, Boniface K.; Oulo, Millicent Akinyi; Mkala, Elijah Mbandi; Ngumbau, Veronicah Mutele5; Onjalalaina, Guy Eric; Odago, Wyclif Ochieng; Nanjala, Consolata; Ochieng, Clintone Onyango; Gichua, Moses Kirega4; Gituru, Robert Wahiti4; Hu, Guang-Wan | |
2024 | |
Source Publication | PLANT DIVERSITY
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ISSN | 2096-2703 |
Volume | 46Issue:1Pages:91_100 |
Abstract | Climate change poses a serious long-term threat to biodiversity. To effectively reduce biodiversity loss, conservationists need to have a thorough understanding of the preferred habitats of species and the variables that affect their distribution. Therefore, predicting the impact of climate change on speciesappropriate habitats may help mitigate the potential threats to biodiversity distribution. Xerophyta , a monocotyledonous genus of the family Velloziaceae is native to mainland Africa, Madagascar, and the Arabian Peninsula. The key drivers of Xerophyta habitat distribution and preference are unknown. Using 308 species occurrence data and eight environmental variables, the MaxEnt model was used to determine the potential distribution of six Xerophyta species in Africa under past, current and future climate change scenarios. The results showed that the models had a good predictive ability (Area Under the Curve and True Skill Statistics values for all SDMs were more than 0.902), indicating high accuracy in forecasting the potential geographic distribution of Xerophyta species. The main bioclimatic variables that impacted potential distributions of most Xerophyta species were mean temperature of the driest quarter (Bio9) and precipitation of the warmest quarter (Bio18). According to our models, tropical Africa has zones of moderate and high suitability for Xerophyta taxa, which is consistent with the majority of documented species localities. The habitat suitability of the existing range of the Xerophyta species varied based on the climate scenario, with most species experiencing a range loss greater than the range gain regardless of the climate scenario. The projected spatiotemporal patterns of Xerophyta species help guide recommendations for conservation efforts. Copyright (c) 2023 Kunming Institute of Botany, Chinese Academy of Sciences. Publishing services by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of KeAi Communications Co., Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BYNC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/). |
Keyword | Africa Climate change MaxEnt model Potential suitable distribution Velloziaceae Xerophyta |
Subject Area | Plant Sciences |
DOI | 10.1016/j.pld.2023.05.001 |
Indexed By | SCI |
Language | 英语 |
WOS ID | WOS:001228790500001 |
Citation statistics | |
Document Type | 期刊论文 |
Identifier | https://ir.xtbg.ac.cn/handle/353005/14300 |
Collection | 其他 |
Affiliation | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Wuhan Bot Garden, Key Lab Plant Germplasm Enhancement & Specialty A, Wuhan 430074, Peoples R China 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Sino Afr Joint Res Ctr, Wuhan 430074, Peoples R China 4.Ngarega, Boniface K.] Chinese Acad Sci, Xishuangbanna Trop Bot Garden, Ctr Integrat Conservat, Xishuangbanna 666303, Peoples R China 5.Jomo Kenyatta Univ Agr & Technol, Bot Dept, Nairobi, Kenya 6.Natl Museums Kenya, East African Herbarium, POB 451660 0100, Nairobi, Kenya |
Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Wang, Vincent Okelo,Ngarega, Boniface K.,Oulo, Millicent Akinyi,et al. Projected impacts of climate change on the habitat of Xerophyta species in Africa[J]. PLANT DIVERSITY,2024,46(1):91_100. |
APA | Wang, Vincent Okelo.,Ngarega, Boniface K..,Oulo, Millicent Akinyi.,Mkala, Elijah Mbandi.,Ngumbau, Veronicah Mutele.,...&Hu, Guang-Wan.(2024).Projected impacts of climate change on the habitat of Xerophyta species in Africa.PLANT DIVERSITY,46(1),91_100. |
MLA | Wang, Vincent Okelo,et al."Projected impacts of climate change on the habitat of Xerophyta species in Africa".PLANT DIVERSITY 46.1(2024):91_100. |
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