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Application of MaxEnt modeling to evaluate the climate change effects on the geographic distribution of Lippia javanica (Burm.f.) Spreng in Africa
Ngarega, Boniface K.; Chaibva, Paul3; Masocha, Valerie F.; Saina, Josphat K.; Khine, Phyo K.; Schneider, Harald
2024
Source PublicationENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING AND ASSESSMENT
ISSN0167-6369
Volume196Issue:1Pages:-
AbstractLippia javanica is a typical indigenous plant species mostly found in the higher elevation or mountainous regions in southern, central, and eastern Africa. The ongoing utilization of the species for ethnobotanical applications and traditional uses, coupled with the changing climate, increases the risk of a potential reduction in its geographic distribution range in the region. Herein, we utilized the MaxEnt species distribution modelling to build the L. javanica distribution models in tropical and subtropical African regions for current and future climates. The MaxEnt models were calibrated and fitted using 286 occurrence records and six environmental variables. Temperatures, including temperature seasonality [Bio 4] and the maximum temperature of the warmest month [Bio 5], were observed to be the most significant determinants of L. javanica's distribution. The current projected range for L. javanica was estimated to be 2,118,457 km(2). Future model predictions indicated that L. javanica may increase its geographic distribution in western areas of the continent and regions around the equator; however, much of the geographic range in southern Africa may shift southwards, causing the species to lose portions of the northern limits of the habitat range. These current findings can help increase the conservation of L. javanica and other species and combat localized species loss induced by climate change and human pressure. We also emphasize the importance of more investigations and enhanced surveillance of traditionally used plant species in regions that are acutely susceptible to climate change.
KeywordAfrica Climate change Lippia javanica Medicinal plants Niche modeling Species distribution models
Subject AreaEnvironmental Sciences & Ecology
DOI10.1007/s10661-023-12232-3
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
WOS IDWOS:001127298600003
Citation statistics
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttps://ir.xtbg.ac.cn/handle/353005/14046
Collection2012年后新成立研究组
Affiliation1.Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Integrat Conservat, Xishuangbanna Trop Bot Garden, Menglun 666303, Peoples R China
2.Ngarega, Boniface K.] Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
3.Ngarega, Boniface K.] Chinese Acad Sci, Sino Africa Joint Res Ctr, Wuhan 430074, Peoples R China
4.Midlands State Univ, Dept Agron & Hort, Bag 9055, Gweru, Zimbabwe
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Ngarega, Boniface K.,Chaibva, Paul,Masocha, Valerie F.,et al. Application of MaxEnt modeling to evaluate the climate change effects on the geographic distribution of Lippia javanica (Burm.f.) Spreng in Africa[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING AND ASSESSMENT,2024,196(1):-.
APA Ngarega, Boniface K.,Chaibva, Paul,Masocha, Valerie F.,Saina, Josphat K.,Khine, Phyo K.,&Schneider, Harald.(2024).Application of MaxEnt modeling to evaluate the climate change effects on the geographic distribution of Lippia javanica (Burm.f.) Spreng in Africa.ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING AND ASSESSMENT,196(1),-.
MLA Ngarega, Boniface K.,et al."Application of MaxEnt modeling to evaluate the climate change effects on the geographic distribution of Lippia javanica (Burm.f.) Spreng in Africa".ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING AND ASSESSMENT 196.1(2024):-.
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