| The potential distributions of African Azolla species and their implications for African wetland ecosystems for the future | |
| Karichu, Mwihaki J.; Ngarega, Boniface K.; Onjalalaina, Guy E.; Kamau, Peris5; Sessa, Emily B. | |
| 2022 | |
| Source Publication | ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION
 |
| ISSN | 2045-7758 |
| Volume | 12Issue:8Pages:- |
| Abstract | Climate change is predicted to affect species in aquatic ecosystems. In Africa, factors that may influence the responses of aquatic species are poorly studied and challenging to predict. In this study, we examined the potential distribution of three aquatic fern species in the genus Azolla in Africa under projected climate change scenarios. MaxEnt was used to create ecological niche models of the three species using occurrence data and environmental variables. All models had satisfactory AUC and TSS values, indicating high prediction precision (AUC and TSS > 0.801). Results showed that elevation and precipitation were the most important variables limiting the species' expansion in the future. In addition, we observed significant variations in the climatic niches of the three species and their distinct climatically appropriate regions. The current potential distribution ranges for the species varied between 2,328,726 km(2) and 4,026,363 km(2). According to the model predictions for the current period, the potential range of Azolla species extended outside the known and recorded locations; however, under future climate conditions, the species were projected to lose between 8.1% and 48% of their suitable habitats due to climate change. Our findings can be used to develop sustainable conservation measures for aquatic species and raise awareness about the effects of climate change. |
| Keyword | Africa Azolla climate change ecological niche modeling MaxEnt wetland ecosystems |
| Subject Area | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Evolutionary Biology |
| DOI | 10.1002/ece3.9210 |
| Indexed By | SCI |
| Language | 英语 |
| WOS ID | WOS:000843058600001 |
| Citation statistics | |
| Document Type | 期刊论文 |
| Identifier | https://ir.xtbg.ac.cn/handle/353005/13128 |
| Collection | 2012年后新成立研究组 |
| Affiliation | 1.[Karichu, Mwihaki J.; Sessa, Emily B.] Univ Florida, Dept Biol, Gainesville, FL 32611 USA 2.Ngarega, Boniface K.] Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Integrat Conservat, Xishuangbanna Trop Bot Garden, Menglun, Peoples R China 3.Ngarega, Boniface K.; Onjalalaina, Guy E.] Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China 4.Onjalalaina, Guy E.] Univ Antananarivo, Fac Sci, Antananarivo, Madagascar 5.Onjalalaina, Guy E.] Chinese Acad Sci, CAS Key Lab Plant Germplasm Enhancement & Special, Wuhan Bot Garden, Wuhan, Peoples R China 6.Natl Museums Kenya, Bot Dept, Nairobi, Kenya |
| Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Karichu, Mwihaki J.,Ngarega, Boniface K.,Onjalalaina, Guy E.,et al. The potential distributions of African Azolla species and their implications for African wetland ecosystems for the future[J]. ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION,2022,12(8):-. |
| APA | Karichu, Mwihaki J.,Ngarega, Boniface K.,Onjalalaina, Guy E.,Kamau, Peris,&Sessa, Emily B..(2022).The potential distributions of African Azolla species and their implications for African wetland ecosystems for the future.ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION,12(8),-. |
| MLA | Karichu, Mwihaki J.,et al."The potential distributions of African Azolla species and their implications for African wetland ecosystems for the future".ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION 12.8(2022):-. |
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| The potential distri（4432KB） | 期刊论文 | 出版稿 | 开放获取 | CC BY-NC-SA | View Download | |
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