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Vulnerability to climate change of species in protected areas in Thailand
Pomoim, Nirunrut1; Hughes, Alice C.; Trisurat, Yongyut3; Corlett, Richard T.
2022
Source PublicationSCIENTIFIC REPORTS
ISSN2045-2322
Volume12Issue:1Pages:-
AbstractAlthough 23% of Thailand's land is in protected areas, these are vulnerable to climate change. We used spatial distribution modelling for 866 vertebrate and 591 plant species to understand potential climate change impacts on species in protected areas. Most mammals, birds, and plants were projected to decline by 2070, but most amphibians and reptiles were projected to increase. By 2070 under RCP8.5, 54% of modeled species will be threatened and 11 nationally extinct. However, SDMs are sensitive to truncation of the climate space currently occupied by habitat loss and hunting, and apparent truncation by data limitations. In Thailand, lowland forest clearance has biased records for forest-dependent species to cooler uplands (> 250 m a.s.l.) and hunting has confined larger vertebrates to well-protected areas. In contrast, available data is biased towards lowland non-forest taxa for amphibians and reptiles. Niche truncation may therefore have resulted in overestimation of vulnerability for some mammal and plant species, while data limitations have likely led to underestimation of the threat to forest-dependent amphibians and reptiles. In view of the certainty of climate change but the many uncertainties regarding biological responses, we recommend regular, long-term monitoring of species and communities to detect early signals of climate change impacts.
Subject AreaScience & Technology - Other Topics
DOI10.1038/s41598-022-09767-9
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
WOS IDWOS:000781522600011
Citation statistics
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttps://ir.xtbg.ac.cn/handle/353005/13082
Collection2012年后新成立研究组
Affiliation1.[Pomoim, Nirunrut; Hughes, Alice C.; Corlett, Richard T.] Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Integrat Conservat, Xishuangbanna Trop Bot Garden, Menglun, Yunnan, Peoples R China
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
3.Hughes, Alice C.; Corlett, Richard T.] Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Conservat Biol, Core Bot Gardens, Xishuangbanna Trop Bot Garden, Menglun, Yunnan, Peoples R China
4.Kasetsart Univ, Fac Forestry, Bangkok, Thailand
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Pomoim, Nirunrut,Hughes, Alice C.,Trisurat, Yongyut,et al. Vulnerability to climate change of species in protected areas in Thailand[J]. SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,2022,12(1):-.
APA Pomoim, Nirunrut,Hughes, Alice C.,Trisurat, Yongyut,&Corlett, Richard T..(2022).Vulnerability to climate change of species in protected areas in Thailand.SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,12(1),-.
MLA Pomoim, Nirunrut,et al."Vulnerability to climate change of species in protected areas in Thailand".SCIENTIFIC REPORTS 12.1(2022):-.
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